Polygraph

The United States produces more oil than Saudi Arabia and Russia combined.

Posted by Badlands Media, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
3 contradict2 support
Said
1 time·
Confidence
70%
Badlands MediaOct 15, 2026
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The claim holds only under a broad measure. PolitiFact finds the U.S. surpasses Russia and Saudi Arabia combined when crude is counted with natural gas liquids and refinery processing gains, but on crude oil alone the U.S. (about 13.6 million b/d in 2025) falls short of Russia (about 9.9) plus Saudi Arabia (about 9.6).

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… He's gloating. Our country is making because we're the number one by double. We weren't until I came along. The first term, we had a great first term. Our country has more oil think of it produces more oil than Saudi Arabia, Russia combined, and soon it's going to be combined times two. We do more. So, I never say this because and watch, they'll cut all of this stuff out, and they'll leave the little sentence: "Our country is making more money than it's ever made because of the fact that oil is …
Badlands Media · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. EIA data show U.S. crude output at 13.6 million b/d in 2025 versus about 9.9 for Russia and 9.6 for Saudi Arabia, so the U.S. alone is about 40% above each of them but below their combined output (about 19.5).[3][4]

Contradicts. E&E News rates the claim that the U.S. produces 'more oil, by double, than Russia and Saudi Arabia combined' as false, since U.S. production is roughly 13.7 million b/d against about 19 million combined.[5]

Supports. PolitiFact rates Trump's claim as right with a caveat: the U.S. leads Russia and Saudi Arabia combined when crude is compared with ethane, propane and butane, a common comparison method per experts.[1]

Supports. FactCheck.org says the U.S. leads Russia and Saudi Arabia combined only when counting liquids such as ethane, propane and butane, and that the U.S. has been the world's top oil producer since 2013 in petroleum terms.[2]

Context. PolitiFact notes that only crude oil fills vehicle tanks; the lead over the two countries combined depends on counting byproducts and a refinery volume adjustment.[1]

Sources

5 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 primary, 2 not rated

  1. 1Does the U.S. produce more oil than Russia and Saudi Arabia?politifact.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports, context
  2. 2FactChecking Trump’s Midterm Convention Speechfactcheck.org · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  3. 3The United States produced more crude oil than any other ...eia.gov · primary source · cited for: contradicts
  4. 4What countries produce the most oil?usafacts.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  5. 5Trump inflates US oil production as Iran war drags down crude inventorieseenews.net · not rated · cited for: contradicts

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Said in 1 published post

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