Polygraph

Rent in Arizona has plummeted by 14% since Donald Trump took office.

Posted by Badlands Media, Checked

Polygraph verdictFalse
Sources
4 contradict2 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
Badlands MediaOct 15, 2026
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108 claimsThe check →

Statewide and Phoenix-area rent data show modest year-over-year declines of roughly 3% to 7%, not a 14% drop, and KTAR reports the decline began before Trump returned to office in January 2025. The 14% figure matches only a single-city, one-bedroom Zumper figure for Glendale, and the claim's 'since Trump took office' framing is not supported as of 2026-10-15.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… We'd leave our military sitting on the street and would put illegal aliens into apartments and fine hotels, and our military was sitting on the street. I ended that rather quickly, but we don't have to worry about it now, because now nobody comes in. But since I took office, rent in Arizona has plummeted by 14%, and it's going to go down by another 20 or 25%, so you'll be able to go out and rent an apartment now. These were all the Biden era highs, where your rent was unaffordable. …
Badlands Media · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. Realtor.com's Arizona data shows statewide median rent down about 3% year over year as of September 2026, far from a 14% decline.[1]

Contradicts. KTAR reports that Apartment List data shows Arizona rents down about 3% over the past year, a decline that started before Trump returned to office in January 2025, which contradicts the claimed timing and magnitude.[2]

Contradicts. Apartment List's October 2026 index shows Phoenix rents down 2.87% over 12 months, and Realtor.com shows the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler median asking rent down 4.2% year over year in June.[3][4]

Context. A Zumper report found one-bedroom rents fell more than 14% in Glendale compared with 2025, a single city and single unit type measured year over year rather than statewide since January 2025.[4]

Context. The Reuters piece and the opinion column repeat Trump's 14% quote without independent data behind it, so they do not corroborate the figure.[5][6]

Sources

6 sources: 6 not rated

  1. 1Arizona Housing & Rental Market Trends (2026) | Realtor.com®realtor.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  2. 2Donald Trump Bullhead City rally: Copper, rent and Kari Lakektar.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  3. 3Cost of Living in Phoenix, AZ (2026): What Renters Should ...apartmentlist.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  4. 4Phoenix renters get some breathing room as prices continue to fall - Apache Junction / Gold Canyon Independentyourvalley.net · not rated · cited for: contradicts, context
  5. 5Trump says Arizona is booming. That's a problem for the GOPrmb.reuters.com · not rated · cited for: context
  6. 6Trump says Arizona is booming. That's a problem for the GOP | Opinionbeaconjournal.com · not rated · cited for: context

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