Polygraph

Senators Ron Johnson and Rand Paul released documents claiming a 12.6% miscarriage rate for pregnant women who received the COVID-19 vaccine.

Posted by Badlands Media, Checked

Polygraph verdictCan’t tell
Sources
1 contradict3 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
50%
Badlands MediaAug 11, 2026
View on Podcast ↗
Video frame
64 claimsThe check →

The 12.6% figure is real: the 2021 NEJM preliminary study reported 104 miscarriages out of 827 completed pregnancies, and the claim it was used to support was debunked. But sources do not show that the senators' released documents claimed 12.6%.

The host relays this claim without endorsing it. It counts as passed on, not against the post.

What was said

… many people have significant cytokines, cytokines, cytokines, cytokine storm and fever after the second dose, this is theoretically could be associated with miscarriage in the first trimester. That's not all. That is not all. This is from Katie Pavlich: the mandated, doctor recommended COVID-19 shot for pregnant women was effectively an abortion shot, according to new documents just released by Senators Johnson and Paul. Quote, the authors claimed a miscarriage rate of 12.6%. That alone should be enough to not give this, this jab to pregnant women. However, the raw data revealed an 82% miscarriage rate in women vaccinated during the first trimester. …
Badlands Media · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. PolitiFact rates the 82% miscarriage figure as false, saying Johnson misrepresented the 2021 study's data, and that numerous studies show no heightened miscarriage risk from the vaccine.[1]

Context. CNN reports that the 12.6% figure comes from the 2021 preliminary NEJM study of vaccinated pregnant women (104 spontaneous abortions out of 827 completed pregnancies), and that this rate is comparable to the 10–20% average miscarriage rate.[4]

Context. Reuters' 2021 fact check said posts had taken figures from that study's table out of context and that the calculations based on it were flawed, since they used only part of the participants.[2]

Context. FactCheck.org reports that the senators' Aug. 10 release juxtaposed a single Fauci text about a theoretical miscarriage concern with his public comments, but it does not report that the released documents stated a 12.6% rate.[3]

Sources

4 sources: 3 fact-checkers, 1 not rated

  1. 1No, COVID-19 vaccines don't increase miscarriage ratespolitifact.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts
  2. 2Fact Check: Data from a study does not conclude that over 80% ...reuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
  3. 3Republicans Revive False Miscarriage Statistic, Twist Fauci's Texts About COVID-19 Shotsfactcheck.org · fact-checker · cited for: context
  4. 4False claims about miscarriage risk from Covid-19 ...us.cnn.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

How Polygraph checks a claim

Our Weekly Newsletter

The Readout

The week's most-shared posts, checked. What they claimed, how they argued, and what held up.

Unsubscribe any time. See our privacy policy.