Polygraph

@cspan

CSPAN

Scores

Average score

Falls apart0

Claims checked

4across 1 check

False

250% of claims

Mixed

00% of claims

True

00% of claims

Can’t tell

250% of claims
DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovMonWedFri
Falls apartMostly failsMostly holdsHolds upNot scored
False70% confidence7 sourcesOct 8, 2026The Republican Party raised in excess of 450 million dollars for the midterm elections.As extracted, the claim says the Republican Party raised over $450 million for the midterms. The passage is Speaker Mike Johnson's own statement about his combined hard, direct, and soft-money haul, so the extraction widens the scope from his fundraising to the whole party. On 2026-10-08, the sources put Johnson's cycle total at $156 million and the RNC's totals far below $450 million, and they do not report any party-level figure near $450 million.False60% confidence7 sourcesOct 8, 2026The 450 million dollars raised by the Republican Party is an all-time record for a Speaker of the House.No source mentions $450 million. The sources instead report Speaker Mike Johnson's House GOP fundraising at $156 million for the cycle and more than $220 million surpassed overall, and they describe the Johnson haul as a record without matching the $450 million figure. The claimant's passage ('That's an all time record') gives no figure, so the $450 million was added during extraction and the claim is graded as extracted.Can’t tell30% confidence4 sourcesOct 8, 2026Individual congressional seats in states like New York and California will cost 30 million dollars to win.The claim is an extraction of the claimant's prediction that individual seats 'will probably cost 30 million to win' in New York and California; the sources report aggregate spending (about $1.94 billion for all candidates, over $10 billion in ad spending) and some individual race totals (e.g., OpenSecrets lists top House races around $20 million), but none states or refutes that a single seat will cost $30 million, and the claim is a forward-looking projection. Judged as of 2026-10-08, the sources give no directional signal on the $30 million figure, so it cannot be graded.Can’t tell35% confidence6 sourcesOct 8, 2026Mike Johnson is traveling to 40 different congressional districts across 22 states in October 2026.The only figure of 40 districts and 22 states comes from Johnson's own statements (source 5, a primary press release quoting him), which cannot corroborate the claim. The independent-looking LA Times piece (source 10, unrated) repeats his account as a forward projection of 40 districts and more than 20 states through November, not a verified October tally, so no source confirms or refutes the October-only figures as of 2026-10-08. The extracted claim matches the passage's scope and timeframe, with no widening.

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