Polygraph

The Department of Homeland Security identified approximately 278,000 non-citizens registered to vote in federal elections across eight states.

Posted by VINCE, Checked

Polygraph verdictFalse
Sources
5 contradict2 support2 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
80%
VINCEAug 25, 2026
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The sources contradict the claim's eight-state scope: the DHS and White House figures cover four states (California, New Jersey, Nevada, Pennsylvania), not eight. Fact-checkers and watchdogs also found the 278,000 figure unsubstantiated, with DHS providing no disclosed methodology.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What we found

Contradicts. DHS's own release and the White House factsheet tie the figures to four states, with a DHS letter listing California, New Jersey, Nevada and Pennsylvania, not eight.[4][5]

Contradicts. FactCheck.org rated Trump's 278,000 claim as unsupported: DHS has not explained its methodology and experts warn the figure is likely highly inaccurate.[1]

Contradicts. Snopes reports that election officials in all four states denied the allegations, and that DHS provided no supporting evidence for its figures.[2]

Contradicts. A global security analysis found the underlying DHS documents never state a verifiable method and cite no noncitizen who actually voted, were removed, or were prosecuted.[6]

Supports. Trump and DHS publicly asserted that a review identified approximately 278,000 noncitizens registered to vote, so the attribution to DHS matches what DHS and the White House said, though not what the evidence showed.[3][4][5][7]

Context. A CREW lawsuit seeking DHS's methodology records reports that the agency has not produced records supporting the figures, and ProPublica found few resulting prosecutions.[7][8][9]

Sources

9 sources: 3 fact-checkers, 2 primary, 2 not rated, 1 tier 2, 1 tier 3

  1. 1FactChecking Trump's Election Security Speechfactcheck.org · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts
  2. 2Noncitizens don't vote in large numbers in US elections. Here ...snopes.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts
  3. 3Three things to know about Trump's election fraud allegationsreuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  4. 4DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin Sends Letters to Secretaries of State Warning About Non-Citizens on Voter Rollsdhs.gov · primary source · cited for: contradicts, supports
  5. 5SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT: President Trump Declassifies Intel on Foreign Election Interference and Deep State Coverupwhitehouse.gov · primary source · cited for: contradicts, supports
  6. 6www.globalsecurity.org › intell › libraryAnalysis — Noncitizens on State Voter Rollsglobalsecurity.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  7. 7DHS failed to provide records supporting Trump's allegations of ...democracydocket.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
  8. 8Inside Trump's Futile Hunt for Noncitizen Voters - ProPublicapropublica.org · tier 2 · cited for: context
  9. 9Watchdog demands Trump DHS put up or shut up on voting claims in courtrawstory.com · tier 3 · cited for: context

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