Polygraph

Not since 1941 has the Atlantic gone this far into a hurricane season without a hurricane forming.

Posted by VINCE, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
3 support2 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
85%
VINCESep 16, 2026
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66 claimsThe check →

The claim matches the New York Times report from September 12, 2026, which states nearly verbatim that not since 1941 has the Atlantic gone this far into a season without a hurricane. The National Weather Service newsletter and AccuWeather corroborate it, with the 1941 first hurricane (Sept.

What was said

… He really can do anything. A drought not seen in more than eight decades. While the inactivity is unusual, meteorologists said it's explainable, and they warned against confusing a quiet start with a quiet finish. Not since 1941 has the Atlantic gone this far into a season without a hurricane. There have been five systems that grew strong enough to become named tropical storms, but not had the time or the right conditions to intensify into hurricanes. So, this is interesting now. …
VINCE · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. The New York Times (Sept. 12, 2026) reports that nearly four months into the season no hurricane had formed and that 'not since 1941 has the Atlantic gone this far into a season without a hurricane.'[3]

Supports. The National Weather Service newsletter (Sept. 25, 2026) reports zero hurricanes as of September 22, a new satellite-era record for the longest start without one, with the prior comparison being September 21, 1941.[2]

Supports. AccuWeather (Sept. 10, updated Sept. 22) reports that no hurricane had formed by Sept. 12, the latest date without one in the satellite era, and that the previous pre-satellite benchmark was Sept. 21, 1941.[4]

Context. Isaias became the first Atlantic hurricane on October 7, after the claim was posted; this does not make the September statement false, since it describes the state of the season on the posting date.[1][5]

Context. AccuWeather notes that pre-satellite-era storm records may be incomplete, so the 1941 comparison rests partly on pre-1966 data that could have missed distant storms.[4]

Sources

5 sources: 1 fact-checker, 1 primary, 1 tier 2, 2 not rated

  1. 1Weaker wind shear during El Niño plays a role in the formation of Isaias in the US Gulfapnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
  2. 2A Historic Atlantic Hurricane Season, ...weather.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
  3. 3Where Are All the Atlantic Hurricanes? Why This Year Is So ...nytimes.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  4. 4Atlantic goes without a hurricane through Sept. 21 ...accuweather.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
  5. 5Talking the Tropics w/Mike: Low pressure to form over the Western Atlanticwokv.com · not rated · cited for: context

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Said in 1 published post

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