Polygraph

The Tim Walz and Peggy Flanagan administration is responsible for an increase in crime in Minnesota.

Posted by The Rob Carson Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
3 contradict3 support
Said
1 time·
Confidence
50%
The Rob Carson ShowOct 5, 2026
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The claim is an extraction of 'the increase in crime' from a speaker's remarks, and it adds that the Walz-Flanagan administration is responsible. Sources show violent crime rose during 2019-2021 (the pandemic spike, which Walz acknowledges), but official 2023 and 2025 data show declines, and whether the administration caused the rise is a contested interpretation rather than a documented finding.

What was said

… So we like the direction that we're going, and I think when people learn that this administration, the Tim Walz Peggy Flanagan administration, was responsible for all of this fraud, they were the Leering Center, the 9 billion dollars, also the decline in test scores and the increase in crime. They know they want to change, and we're offering a real common sense bit of change here. The Eden Prairie High School homecoming was canceled because of Somali gang violence. Enough is friggin' enough. Joining us next, the Great Brigitte Gabriel. …
The Rob Carson Show · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. Minnesota's 2025 Uniform Crime Report, as quoted in the Center Square and Walz's statement, reports violent crime fell 9% to its lowest rate since 2019, with murders dropping from 172 to 132.[3][4]

Contradicts. Walz's June 2025 congressional testimony states Minnesota hit its lowest serious-crime level in over three decades in 2023 and that violent crime trends had reversed after the pandemic spike.[1]

Supports. The American Experiment, an advocacy outlet, reports that Minnesota's violent crime rose 40% during 2019-2021 under Walz and Ellison and remains 12% above pre-2019 levels, though this is not an authoritative government record.[5]

Supports. Opinion and partisan testimony (Schultz 2024, Tafoya 2026) assert soaring or peak violent crime under Walz, but these are advocacy claims that do not cite independent official data for the current period.[2][6]

Context. Attributing crime trends to a specific administration is interpretive; the sources document a pandemic-era spike and subsequent declines, and do not establish that the administration caused the increase.[1][3][5]

Sources

6 sources: 2 primary, 3 not rated, 1 rated low

  1. 11 Governor Tim Walz Testimony before the United States ...congress.gov · primary source · cited for: contradicts, context
  2. 2Chairman, Ranking Member, and distinguished members of the committee:docs.house.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
  3. 3Minnesota crime rates fall as public safety concerns persistthecentersquare.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, context
  4. 4Governor Walz Weekly Briefing - September 19 - Forth.Newsforth.news · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  5. 5Minnesota’s progressive leadership and their public safety policy failuresamericanexperiment.org · not rated · cited for: supports, context
  6. 6Michele Tafoya: Peggy Flanagan “Is Not An Experiment ...radio.foxnews.com · rated low for factual reporting by Iffy.news · cited for: supports

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