U.S. exports to Canada have fallen by over 20% in the past 18 months.
Posted by The MeidasTouch Podcast, Checked
- Sources
- 2 contradict3 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 60%
The MeidasTouch PodcastOct 22, 2026
The claim's central magnitude, a drop of over 20% in U.S. exports to Canada, is contradicted by USTR data showing U.S. goods exports to Canada fell only 4.8% in 2025, with U.S. services exports up 1.9%. No source computes an 18-month figure, but StatCan reports U.S.-bound imports from the U.S.
What was said
… The average car is built from parts that travel across our border up to eight times, but in the past year, 18 months, Canada's auto exports to us have declined by more than 10%. U.S. Exports to Canada have fallen by over 20%, even though Canada is still far and away the United States' largest customer. Nobody wins from this. Tariffs make both our industries weaker and reduce choice for our families, and that's why Canada remains ready to negotiate a fair deal when the U.S. …
The MeidasTouch Podcast · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Contradicts. USTR reports U.S. goods exports to Canada were $333.6 billion in 2025, down 4.8% ($17.0 billion) from 2024, far short of a 20% decline.[3]
Contradicts. Statistics Canada reports that imports from the United States rose 1.8% in July 2026, which runs against a sharp fall in U.S. exports to Canada.[4]
Context. The 20% figure appears only in Carney's remarks as reported by AP, which the claimant repeated; no independent source supports it.[1]
Context. Canadian data show Canada's exports to the U.S. fell 6.6% in July 2026 and the U.S. share of Canadian exports dropped. These measure Canadian exports, not U.S. exports to Canada, so they do not support the claim.[2][5]
Sources
5 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 primary, 1 not rated, 1 tier 2
- 1Carney says Trump’s tariffs hurt Americans as US Embassy alleges Canadian interferenceapnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
- 2Canada July trade surplus shrinks, US exports drop - Reutersreuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
- 3Canada - United States Trade Representativeustr.gov · primary source · cited for: contradicts
- 4Canadian international merchandise trade, July 2026www150.statcan.gc.ca · not rated · cited for: contradicts
- 5Canada's economic break with the US in 5 chartscnn.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post