Susan Collins is leading by five to ten points in the Maine election.
Posted by The Kuhner Report, Checked
- Sources
- 4 contradict3 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 85%
The Kuhner ReportOct 24, 2026
The claim that Collins led by five to ten points in the Maine Senate race is contradicted by polling around October 24, 2026. The Marist poll (Oct 22-25) had Jackson up 2 points, and Bangor Daily News reported that Collins had not led any public poll since late September and that most October polls had Jackson ahead or tied.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What was said
… all this info into their websites and all their tracking data, it's going to pull up a lot of false, and you can't really tell the difference, and that's that's a little bit of the danger of looking at this, I think, in Maine, because I live in Maine, and I think, um, Susan Collins is probably up by about five, ten points, but they're not going to tell you that because they're so desperate to get this guy in. So, you just got to go out and vote. Patrick, if you don't mind me asking you this question. Sure. …
The Kuhner Report · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Contradicts. The Marist poll conducted October 22-25, 2026 (the claim's own timeframe) found Jackson 49% to Collins 47% among likely voters, a 2-point Democratic lead, not a Collins lead.[2][3]
Contradicts. Bangor Daily News reported that most October polls had Jackson ahead by 2 to 5 points or tied, and that Collins had not led a public poll since late September.[4]
Contradicts. Reuters on October 27 described the race as deadlocked in opinion polls, which also contradicts a five-to-ten-point Collins lead.[1]
Context. Later polls published October 29 to November 2 (CNN, NYT/Siena, UNH, YouGov) showed Jackson ahead by 4 to 9 points, and the claimed Collins lead is absent from every poll in the sources. The claim's figures were not supported at any point in the record.[5][6][7]
Context. The claim faithfully paraphrases the post's statement that Collins was 'probably up by about five, ten points,' so no extraction departure applies.
Sources
7 sources: 1 fact-checker, 1 primary, 1 tier 1, 4 not rated
- 1Last Republican incumbent senator in a Democratic-leaning state fights for survivalreuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts
- 2The Midterm Elections in Maine, October 2026 - Marist Pollmaristpoll.marist.edu · primary source · cited for: contradicts
- 3Jackson, Collins separated by 2 points in Maine Senate race pollingthehill.com · tier 1 · cited for: contradicts
- 4Most Mainers think Susan Collins will win despite her trailing in pollsbangordailynews.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
- 5Jackson leads Collins in final poll before Election Daykutv.com · not rated · cited for: context
- 6What the latest CNN poll found about Maine's races before Election Daypressherald.com · not rated · cited for: context
- 7What the Final Polls Say About Tomorrow's Electionmidcoastvillager.com · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
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