Polygraph

New Hampshire has been a solid Republican state for many decades.

Posted by The Kuhner Report, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
4 contradict3 support1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
The Kuhner ReportOct 24, 2026
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Sources support the historical reading: New Hampshire was a reliably Republican presidential state from 1856 to 1988, with only a few exceptions, and was dominated by Republicans for much of the 20th century. Read as an ongoing condition ('has been...

What was said

… Scott in New Hampshire, thanks for holding, Scott, and welcome. Hey, Jeff, I really appreciate everything you do. First off, I listen every morning, and I really appreciate all your information and insight. Thank you. So here's my take: I've been in New Hampshire for 40 years, and over the decades, it was a solid Republican state for many, many years. And then, as as the demographics changed and the massive and New York people started coming up for cheaper houses and a tax free state, they brought their Democratic ideas with them. So over time, it's been, it's, it's we've been 50 50. …
The Kuhner Report · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. Sources describe New Hampshire as a swing or purple state in the present, with Democrats winning presidential races in 1992 onward and Democrats holding state-level gains since the 1960s, which contradicts a reading that it is still solid Republican.[2][3][4][5]

Supports. The state consistently elected Republican presidential candidates from 1856 to 1988, with only a few exceptions, which supports a long solid-Republican period.[1][6]

Supports. Bush won 226 of 238 towns in 1988, and Republicans held a near-perfect record of dominance before Clinton's 1992 win, which supports the decades-long Republican pattern.[7]

Context. Democratic gubernatorial and congressional gains began in the 1960s, so the Republican dominance was already eroding well before the present.[1][8]

Sources

8 sources: 1 primary, 7 not rated

  1. 1[PDF] From Ruby-Red to Deep Purple: How New Hampshire Became a ...scholarship.claremont.edu · primary source · cited for: supports, context
  2. 2New Hampshire likes its Bigfoot status in presidential politicsamericamagazine.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  3. 3Why Are New Hampshire and Vermont Politically So Different?sevendaysvt.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  4. 4New Hampshire is still a swing state after all - The Boston Globebostonglobe.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  5. 5Will NH voters split ticket and buck blue wave? Election analysis.azcentral.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  6. 6New Hampshire - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org · not rated · cited for: supports
  7. 7How N.H. Went from Deep Red to Swing State Over the Course of a ...nhpr.org · not rated · cited for: supports
  8. 8Introduction Since the 1950s, New Hampshire has gained ...bura.brunel.ac.uk · not rated · cited for: context

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