Polygraph

In the three months leading up to the 2024 presidential election, the spot price of gold increased by over 12%.

Posted by The Dan Bongino Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
4 context
Said
2 times·
Confidence
45%
The Dan Bongino ShowSep 16, 2026
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61 claimsThe check →

No source directly measures gold's change over the three months before the November 5, 2024 election, so the claim can only be estimated from monthly data.

A detail. The sources confirm the gist; the verdict faults a detail such as a date, number or wording.

What was said

… Short break. We're a couple of months out, but the midterms are fast approaching, and make no mistake, if the House flips to the Democrats, it's a big deal for our economy. That uncertainty is one of the reasons to diversify with gold from Birch Gold Group. In the three months leading up to the 2024 presidential election, the spot price of gold jumped over 12%. Now, why was that? Because we've taught you here on the show, it's a hedge against times of uncertainty. If you don't own gold, I would suggest talking to Birch Gold Group, Philip Patrick, and the team. …
Bannon`s War Room · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Context. Source [2] reports month-over-month COMEX changes of +4.2% (August), +5.2% (September) and +3.4% (October) for 2024, which compound to about +13% over those months.[1]

Context. Source [6] uses monthly averages: August $2,470 to October $2,690 is about +8.9%, while July $2,398 to October $2,690 is about +12.2%, so the result depends on the start month and measure.[2]

Context. Source [3] reports different monthly changes (e.g., August +1.4%, September +4.9%, October +3.5%) and a different base, so the sources do not agree on the exact magnitude.[3]

Context. Source [7] reports August 2024 closing at $2,513, up 3.6% for the month, which does not directly measure the three-month window.[4]

Context. The claim's extraction matches the passage, which states the same figure as a three-month rise before the election.

Sources

4 sources: 4 not rated

  1. 1Gold Price in 2024: High, Low and Close - XAUUSD Globalxauusdglobal.com · not rated · cited for: context
  2. 2Gold Price in 2024 — Monthly Average & Return | XAU Tickerxauticker.com · not rated · cited for: context
  3. 3Gold Price History 2024: Monthly Prices, High & Lowgoldoilprice.com · not rated · cited for: context
  4. 4Gold Market Commentary: It's always the quiet onesgold.org · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 2 published posts

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