CNN reported that 14 out of the last 16 October polls under-sampled Republicans by an average of 4 points.

Posted by Speaker Mike Johnson, Oct 25, 2026Checked Oct 26, 2026

Polygraph verdictCan’t tell

Sources: 8 context
Said: 1 time·
Confidence: 30%

Speaker Mike Johnson@SpeakerJohnsonOct 25, 2026

No authoritative source confirms that CNN reported 14 of 16 October polls under-sampled Republicans by an average of 4 points. The only CNN-linked match is an unrated X post (Grok) that repeats the figures, and it describes a different scope (early-October generic ballot averages across 16 cycles since 1994). The extracted claim also tracks Rep.

What was said

… Look, in the last week, Shannon, you've had two polling organizations nationwide be exposed for completely fraudulent numbers. And the more traditional researchers and poll organizations are acknowledging that they've been under sampling Republicans. In fact, CNN ran a story less than a week ago and they said that 14 out of the last 16 October polls, poll polls, in those elections, they under sampled Republicans by an average of 4 points. Republicans are no longer responding to polls. Look, I'm going all around the country, Shannon. I've been in 21 states, 39 districts just in the last three weeks. …

Speaker Mike Johnson@SpeakerJohnson · Oct 25, 2026· from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Context. Source 3 (Fox News live blog) reports House Speaker Mike Johnson saying CNN ran a story stating that 14 of the last 16 October polls under-sampled Republicans by about four points. This is the claimant's assertion relayed by a tier3 outlet, not a CNN publication.[8]

Context. Source 7, an unrated X post, says CNN/Henry Enten analysis found polls underestimated GOP performance in 14 of 16 cycles by about 4 points. Its scope (generic ballot averages versus House popular vote since 1994) differs from the claim's 'October polls,' and the post echoes the claim rather than providing an independent record.[4]

Context. The CNN poll and poll-of-polls sources (0, 2, 4, 5, 6) report current 2026 topline results and sample details but do not address any analysis of past polling error or under-sampling of Republicans.[1][3][5][6][7]