Polygraph

The United Conservative Party has less than 100,000 members.

Posted by Power & Politics, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
2 support2 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
Power & PoliticsOct 21, 2026
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56 claimsThe check →

The claim that the UCP has fewer than 100,000 members is supported by the most recent membership figures in the sources, which show about 54,000 to 55,000 members in 2024. No source reports a 2026 figure at or above 100,000, though the sources contain no 2026 membership count, so the evidence is directional rather than direct.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… Uh, I think that the premier should be more welcoming of those of us who have legitimate concerns about our relationship with Ottawa, because if, if, uh, if, if those UCP members of her party feel they have no home, they'll go somewhere else. Remember, the party has less than 100000 members. Over 500000 Albertans voted for the independence path, so I think she needs to have a greater approach of reconciliation with the independence side and not take such a harsh line and sort of an unwelcoming message. I think that was a strategic error. …
Power & Politics · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. Wikipedia's UCP entry lists membership at 54,915 for 2024, well under the 100,000 threshold.[1]

Supports. A 2024 Alberta Politics article cites a UCP membership figure of around 54,000, down from 123,915 at the 2022 leadership contest, indicating a drop rather than growth.[2]

Context. A 2026 CBC analysis reports 6,900 members registered for the November convention, which is a registration count, not total party membership, so it does not contradict the claim.[3]

Context. No source gives a total UCP membership figure for October 2026, so the claim is graded on the 2024 data and the absence of any reported surge.[1][2][4]

Sources

4 sources: 4 not rated

  1. 1United Conservative Party - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org · not rated · cited for: supports, context
  2. 2Honey! I shrunk the party! UCP membership shrivels as Danielle ...albertapolitics.ca · not rated · cited for: supports, context
  3. 3Alberta separatists lost the vote. They'll continue their fight ...cbc.ca · not rated · cited for: context
  4. 4United Conservative Party | 338Canada Alberta338canada.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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