Polygraph

The Alberta NDP came within approximately 2,000 votes of winning in the previous election.

Posted by Power & Politics, Checked

Polygraph verdictCan’t tell
Sources
4 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
30%
Power & PoliticsOct 21, 2026
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56 claimsThe check →

None of the sources states the margin between the Alberta NDP and the winning party in any provincial election, so the roughly 2,000-vote figure cannot be graded. The passage itself trails off at 'in the' without naming an election, so 'previous election' is an extraction inference rather than something the post specifies.

What was said

… cost of living, in particular for Albertans, if she wants to actually make a good offer to Albertans, because I will remind her that those kinds of silly arguments that we've heard around the federal party have been around for an awfully long time now, and they didn't stop the NDV from coming within, from to within about 2000 votes of winning in the, so, you know, it's an old playbook. It is becoming even more worn, I think, under Nahid Nenshi's leadership than it was under Rachel Notley's, and it's really all they've got. And what it does is it papers over the tremendous divisions within her party. …
Power & Politics · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Context. Elections Alberta's historical results give NDP totals (777,397 votes and 38 seats in one election; 619,921 votes and 24 seats in another) but no winner-versus-NDP margin that would show a near-win of about 2,000 votes.[1]

Context. Riding-level margins in the Alberta Election Hub (for example Calgary-Acadia at 22 votes and Calgary-Glenmore at 48) are NDP wins in individual ridings, not an election-wide near-miss, so they do not bear on the claim.[2]

Context. The 2026 Calgary-Shaw byelection, won by the NDP by a margin of roughly 500 to 600 votes, is a byelection in a single riding and is not a general election in which the NDP came within 2,000 votes of winning.[3][4]

Sources

4 sources: 4 not rated

  1. 1Historical General Election Results - Elections Albertaelections.ab.ca · not rated · cited for: context
  2. 2Alberta Election Hub: Upcoming Votes, Results Since 2008 ...alberta.io · not rated · cited for: context
  3. 3ANALYSIS | ‘Unintended consequences’: Poll shows UCP independence referendum boosting Alberta NDP | CBC Newscbc.ca · not rated · cited for: context
  4. 4Alberta NDP win Calgary-Shaw byelection, flipping UCP seatcalgary.citynews.ca · not rated · cited for: context

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