Polygraph

Joe Hoff published an article indicating polling for the House of Representatives is 218 to 217.

Posted by Badlands Media, Checked

Polygraph verdictCan’t tell
Sources
12 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
30%
Badlands MediaOct 21, 2026
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82 claimsThe check →

None of the provided sources mention Joe Hoff or an article by him, so whether he published an article on House polling cannot be checked. The sources also do not report a 218-217 polling figure; they show Democrats leading in polls well above the 218 seats needed, which does not confirm or refute what the article said.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… week as well and was talking about the margin of error in the polling, and how, you know, given the margin of error in the polling, it looks like the Republicans are going to maintain the Senate and, with Calais, maybe even win some more seats in the House. So I think Joe Hoff had an article out yesterday about some polling that's indicating it could be like 218 to 217 in the House and 53 to 49 well, no, 53 to 47, excuse me in the Senate. So again, I i i do believe that if if this Social Security, you know, exposure here, you know, is able to chop away at a majority of the fraud, majority meaning more than half, okay, not all of it, …
Badlands Media · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Context. No source mentions Joe Hoff or any article by him, so the central assertion that he published the article cannot be verified.[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12]

Context. Sources on House polling and ratings in late October 2026 (e.g., CNN Poll of Polls, Cook ratings via Political Wire) show Democrats favored in well over 218 seats, which does not address whether a 218-217 polling figure appeared in an article.[7][11][12]

Context. The House seat count sources cite (218 Republicans/independent versus 214 Democrats) describes the current chamber, not a poll result, so it does not corroborate the article's polling claim.[5][6]

Sources

12 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 tier 1, 4 tier 2, 5 not rated

  1. 1U.S. House Of Representatives Articlessnopes.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
  2. 2Latest Fact-Checkspolitifact.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
  3. 3Democrats have high hopes for midterms, but polls have let them down beforebbc.co.uk · tier 1 · cited for: context
  4. 4These are the House races to watch in the 2026 midterm election on Nov. 3npr.org · tier 2 · cited for: context
  5. 52026 midterm election races to watchcbsnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
  6. 6Midterms 2026: Congress Polls and More - NBC Newsnbcnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
  7. 7CNN Poll of Polls: Choice for Congress | CNN Politicscnn.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
  8. 8Misinformation Toolkit – Full Factdev.fullfact.org · not rated · cited for: context
  9. 9Control of US House likely to turn on war with Iran, ...wtop.com · not rated · cited for: context
  10. 102026 Midterm Update: Where Things Stand Two Weeks ...jdsupra.com · not rated · cited for: context
  11. 11House Democrats Lead Generic Ballot By 9 Points ...newscord.org · not rated · cited for: context
  12. 12Democrats Projected Majority Grows - Political Wirepoliticalwire.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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