Polygraph

Canada's inflation rate was 3.1% in September.

Posted by Your World Tonight, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
1 contradict6 support
Said
1 time·
Confidence
95%
Your World TonightOct 28, 2026
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31 claimsThe check →

Statistics Canada's own release, reported by multiple independent outlets, shows the annual inflation rate was 3.1% in September 2026, matching the claim. One Reuters story gave 3.2%, but the official StatCan figure and the other sources agree on 3.1%.

A played clip makes this claim. Listeners heard it, so it counts against the post.

What was said

… With the war in the Middle East persisting, global oil prices have increased and are expected to be higher for long. He's worried about a possible spillover of that energy inflation into the rest of the economy. Canada's inflation rate came in at 3.1% in September, but that was driven almost entirely by gas prices. If we strip out gasoline, that number would be much lower, at 2.2%. Pedro Antunes is chief economist at Signal 49 Research. …
Your World Tonight · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. Statistics Canada's September 2026 CPI release states the CPI rose 3.1% year over year in September, after 3.0% in August.[3]

Supports. Multiple independent outlets, including Reuters, CBC, RBC Economics, Bloomberg/BNN and Forbes Advisor, report the September 2026 annual inflation rate as 3.1%, citing Statistics Canada.[2][4][5][6][7]

Contradicts. A Reuters post-decision article states the annual inflation rate hit 3.2% in September, which conflicts with the official 3.1% figure; this appears to be an outlier against the StatCan release and the other reports.[1]

Context. The 3.1% headline figure was driven mainly by gasoline (up 27.8%); excluding gasoline, CPI rose 2.2%. The claim does not address this breakdown, and the extraction matches the passage's wording.[2][3]

Sources

7 sources: 1 fact-checker, 1 tier 2, 5 not rated

  1. 1Bank of Canada raises key interest rate, says another hike possiblereuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts
  2. 2Inflation Rate Warms To 3.1% In Septemberforbes.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports, context
  3. 3Consumer Price Index, September 2026www150.statcan.gc.ca · not rated · cited for: supports, context
  4. 4Canada's annual inflation rate rose to 3.1% in Septemberrmb.reuters.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5Inflation rises to 3.1% in September, as fuel prices push ...cbc.ca · not rated · cited for: supports
  6. 6Canadian inflation ticked higher in September - RBC Economicsrbc.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  7. 7Inflation data shows high energy prices still contained, for now: economistsbnnbloomberg.ca · not rated · cited for: supports

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