Polygraph

Approximately 30 million Americans have already voted in the 2026 midterm elections.

Posted by The Parnas Perspective, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
5 support3 context
Said
2 times·
Confidence
70%
The Parnas PerspectiveOct 26, 2026
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22 claimsThe check →

The claim matches the record as of the claim's 2026-10-27 date: a fact-check piece published 2026-10-26 reports that the University of Florida Election Lab counted about 30 million early votes, and the trajectory from about 21 million (Oct 23) to 23 million (Oct 23, IBTimes) to 43 million (Oct 29-30) is consistent with that figure.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… It is clear that this administration is hellbent on going after those it disagrees with. Today, James Comey, tomorrow, could be independent journalists. Like, comment, share to get the word out, and let's jump right into the early voting numbers, because nearly 30 million Americans have already voted, about double the pace of the last midterms. The national total is at 29.9 million mail-in and early in-person ballots, compared with just 15 million at a similar point in 2022. The jump is largely, is especially large, in Republican-leaning states with competitive Senate races. …
The Parnas Perspective · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. A fact-check piece published 2026-10-26 states that more than 30 million Americans had already cast ballots as of October 26, citing the University of Florida's Election Lab.[3]

Supports. The same tracker's counts rose from about 21 million on Oct 23 (NPR) and more than 23 million accepted ballots on Oct 23 (IBTimes) to more than 43 million by Oct 29-30 (BBC, AP), so a total near 30 million around Oct 26-27 fits the trend.[1][2][4][5]

Context. Later reporting shows the national total continuing to climb to roughly 47.9 million by Oct 30 and 52.8 million by Oct 31, which postdates the claim and does not change its truth as of 2026-10-27.[6][7]

Context. The 30 million figure traces back mainly to one tracker (UF Election Lab) and different trackers report different totals, so the precise number is an approximation rather than an independently audited count.[3][8]

Sources

8 sources: 1 tier 2, 1 tier 1, 6 not rated

  1. 1Millions of Americans have already cast their votes for the ...npr.org · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  2. 2than 43 million ballots cast so far in midterms early voting ...bbc.co.uk · tier 1 · cited for: supports
  3. 3What early voting numbers tell us about the midterm election - WCIVabcnews4.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
  4. 4Early Voting Surges as Expert Says Republicans Are 'Not as ...ibtimes.co.uk · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5U.S. midterms: Early voting spiking in American senate racescp24.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  6. 6Early Voting Hits Record 48 Million US Midterm Electionchannelstv.com · not rated · cited for: context
  7. 7Record 52.8 Million Cast Early Ballots Before U.S. Midtermsen.sedaily.com · not rated · cited for: context
  8. 8Fact Check Team: What early voting numbers tell us about the ... - KVIIabc7amarillo.com · not rated · cited for: context

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Said in 2 published posts

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