Polygraph

Early voting numbers for the 2026 midterm elections are off the charts.

Posted by The Health Ranger Report, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
4 support1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
80%
The Health Ranger ReportOct 22, 2026
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As of October 22, 2026, early voting was well above prior midterms: NPR reported on October 23 that nearly 21 million people had voted, with turnout higher than 2018 and 2022 at the same point, and later AP and Bloomberg reporting shows the surge continuing.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… We kind of know what to look for as far as the experience to say, "Okay, are they about to do it again? These are the signs I'm seeing." Early voting numbers are absurd. They're off the charts. Okay, maybe there's a good reason for that, but we have to keep our eye on that. Also, we're seeing people getting censored on YouTube. We're seeing people getting censored on X. …
The Health Ranger Report · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. NPR reports early voter turnout in the 2026 midterms is higher than in 2018 and 2022 at the same point, with almost 21 million votes cast as of October 23.[2]

Supports. AP's analysis of voting data five days before Election Day finds early voting significantly outpacing the last midterm, with Texas up 50% and several competitive Senate states up more than 30%.[1][4]

Supports. Bloomberg reports early voting has hit a midterm record, with turnout surpassing the 2022 record four days before Election Day.[3]

Context. The NYT tracker notes early voting was already a majority of total voting in its October 9 coverage and that early Black turnout in South Carolina had exceeded 2022 totals, consistent with a broad surge.[5]

Context. The claim's wording 'off the charts' is hyperbole rather than a precise figure; the sources give concrete comparisons that support the directional claim that numbers were very high.[2][3]

Sources

5 sources: 1 fact-checker, 3 tier 2, 1 not rated

  1. 1Early voting jumps as millions more Americans vote ahead ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  2. 2Millions of Americans have already cast their votes for the ...npr.org · tier 2 · cited for: supports, context
  3. 3Early Voting Hits Midterm Record As Democrats Bank More ...bloomberg.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports, context
  4. 4Early voting jumps across Senate battlegrounds as millions more Americans vote ahead of Election Daywpxi.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5Tracking the Early Vote in the 2026 Midterm Electionsnytimes.com · tier 2 · cited for: context

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