Republicans were leading Democrats by 3,000 votes in ballots turned in for Arizona's First Congressional District.

Posted by The Fox News Rundown, Oct 23, 2026Checked Nov 2, 2026

Polygraph verdictCan’t tell

Sources: 6 context
Said: 1 time·
Confidence: 30%

The Fox News RundownOct 23, 2026

No provided source reports a ballots-returned tally for Arizona's 1st District, so the claimed 3,000-vote Republican lead cannot be checked. The AP and Bloomberg pages show no district votes counted, and the statewide returns reported by AZ Capitol Times and Heraldreview do not break out CD1.

A guest makes this claim. Listeners heard it, so it counts against the post, and on the guest's own record.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… So, with the majority of Congress on the line, can Republicans kick off a late push in these final days of campaigning to keep the seat red? Well, we feel really good. Feely is the Republican candidate for Arizona's First Congressional District. I just looked, and Republicans were up 3,000 votes on Democrats on the ballots that have been turned in. The closing message is it's one about capitalism versus socialism. It is literally common sense policies versus these crazy policies, and, you know, that is the message and the choice that people have. …

The Fox News Rundown · Oct 23, 2026· from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Context. The AP results page (published 2026-11-01) shows 0% of the Arizona 1st District vote counted, and the Bloomberg page (published 2026-10-26) shows no votes counted, so neither reports a ballots-returned margin.[1][2]

Context. Statewide early-return reporting shows Democrats returning mail ballots at a higher rate than Republicans as of Oct. 24, but no source breaks this out for District 1, so it is not a direct test of the claimed 3,000-vote lead.[4][5]

Context. Recent district polls show Democrat Amish Shah ahead of Republican Jay Feely, but polls measure voter preference rather than the ballots turned in, so they do not confirm or refute the claimed returned-ballot margin.[3][6]