Polygraph

A Fox News poll shows 51% of Texas voters want Republicans to control the Senate and 47% want Democrats to control the Senate.

Posted by The Fox News Rundown, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
6 support1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
85%
The Fox News RundownOct 23, 2026
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The Fox News poll of Texas likely voters (conducted Oct 15-19, 2026, released Oct 21) found 51% preferred Republican control of the U.S. Senate and 47% preferred Democratic control, matching the claim. The claim's figures and framing are faithful to the passage, and the poll was already public by the 2026-10-23 claim date.

Our two reads of who says this, and how, disagree, so it counts as the post's own claim.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… Are they segregated while the rest of the fight plays out? We got new Texas poll numbers. Shannon, Fox News finds a down-the-middle split of support for James Talarico and Ken Paxton. It even split, but dive into these numbers with me, because when asked who do you want to control the Senate, 51% said Republican, 47% said Democrat. So the GOP is up by four points there. However, while nearly all Democrats said they support Talarico, 28% of those who consider themselves Republicans but not MAGA don't support Paxton. They want Talarico. …
The Fox News Rundown · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. The Fox News Poll article states that Texas likely voters choose Republicans for Senate control by 4 points (51% to 47%), up from +1 point in September.[6]

Supports. Fox 7 Austin reports that Texans favor Republican control of the U.S. Senate 51% to 47% in the new Fox News poll released that week.[1]

Supports. Coverage of the Fox News survey (1,398 likely voters, margin of error 2.5 points) repeats the same 51%-47% Senate control split.[2][3][4][5]

Context. The poll was jointly directed by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), and the Senate-control question is among those the poll asked. Other outlets' coverage largely derives from this single Fox poll, so the figures rest on one poll.[6][7]

Sources

7 sources: 6 not rated, 1 rated low

  1. 1Texas Senate race: Talarico, Paxton tied in new poll as ...fox7austin.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  2. 2Too Close to Call: New Fox Poll Shows Texas Senate Race in ...ktrh.iheart.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  3. 3Too Close to Call: New Poll Shows Texas Senate Race in a Dead Heat | 100.3 WHEB | Lend A Helping Canwheb.iheart.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  4. 4Too Close to Call: New Poll Shows Texas Senate Race in a Dead Heat | News Radio 1200 WOAI | Cari Laquewoai.iheart.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5Texas Senate race tied at 49% in new poll as early turnout surgesbostondaily.us · not rated · cited for: supports
  6. 6Fox News Poll: Texas Senate race galloping toward a photo finishfoxnews.com · rated low for factual reporting by Iffy.news · cited for: supports, context
  7. 7New poll shows deadlocked Texas Senate race as early voting continuesrmb.reuters.com · not rated · cited for: context

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