28% of voters who consider themselves Republicans but not MAGA do not support Ken Paxton.
Posted by The Fox News Rundown, Checked
- Sources
- 3 support3 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 60%
The Fox News RundownOct 23, 2026
The Fox News poll conducted October 15-19 and released October 21, 2026 found 'nearly 3 in 10' non-MAGA Republicans backing Talarico over Paxton, which matches the 28% figure in the post.
Our two reads of who says this, and how, disagree, so it counts as the post's own claim.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What was said
… It even split, but dive into these numbers with me, because when asked who do you want to control the Senate, 51% said Republican, 47% said Democrat. So the GOP is up by four points there. However, while nearly all Democrats said they support Talarico, 28% of those who consider themselves Republicans but not MAGA don't support Paxton. They want Talarico. So how do we interpret these numbers, given that little GOP divide? Yeah, and you picked up on the exact number that caught my attention, too. …
The Fox News Rundown · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Supports. The Fox News poll (Oct 15-19, released Oct 21) reported that nearly 3 in 10 non-MAGA Republicans cross party lines to back Talarico, consistent with the 28% figure.[2][3]
Supports. A Fox-commissioned poll is cited as showing Talarico winning 28 percent of non-MAGA Republicans, directly matching the claimed figure.[1]
Context. Earlier Fox polls showed lower shares of non-MAGA Republicans backing Talarico (22% in late September, 24% in July), so the 28% figure reflects the October poll specifically.[4][5][6]
Context. The claim says 'do not support Paxton' while sources report support for Talarico; the two are close but not identical, since some respondents could be undecided or back another candidate.[2]
Sources
6 sources: 1 tier 3, 4 not rated, 1 rated low
- 1Trump's rallies now 'a pure vanity project' as key voters abandon him: analysisrawstory.com · tier 3 · cited for: supports
- 2New poll shows deadlocked Texas Senate race as early voting continuesrmb.reuters.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 3Fox News Poll: Texas Senate race galloping toward a ...noticias.foxnews.com · rated low for factual reporting by Iffy.news · cited for: supports
- 4Trump's rally for Paxton may help Talarico, Fox News poll suggestsnewsweek.com · not rated · cited for: context
- 5Hannity Rejects Fox News' Own Poll on Texas Senate Race: ‘I Don't Believe It for Two Seconds'mediaite.com · not rated · cited for: context
- 6Fox News poll shows Talarico narrowly leading Paxton in Texas Senate raceuk.news.yahoo.com · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
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