Polygraph

In the three months leading up to the 2024 presidential election, the spot price of gold increased by over 12%.

Posted by The Dan Bongino Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
4 context
Said
2 times·
Confidence
45%
The Dan Bongino ShowSep 16, 2026
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61 claimsThe check →

No source directly measures gold's change over the three months before the November 5, 2024 election, so the claim can only be estimated from monthly data.

A detail. The sources confirm the gist; the verdict faults a detail such as a date, number or wording.

What was said

… Yeah, and uncertainty is one of the reasons I'm diversified with gold from Birch Gold Group, B-I-R-C-H, and I'm not the only one. In the three months leading up to the 2024 presidential election, the spot price of gold jumped over 12%. Why is that? Many investors considered it a hedge against uncertainty. If you don't own gold, I would suggest talking with Birch Gold, like I did. They'll discuss your goals and explain how precious metals can fit into your savings. …
The Dan Bongino Show · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Context. Source [2] reports month-over-month COMEX changes of +4.2% (August), +5.2% (September) and +3.4% (October) for 2024, which compound to about +13% over those months.[1]

Context. Source [6] uses monthly averages: August $2,470 to October $2,690 is about +8.9%, while July $2,398 to October $2,690 is about +12.2%, so the result depends on the start month and measure.[2]

Context. Source [3] reports different monthly changes (e.g., August +1.4%, September +4.9%, October +3.5%) and a different base, so the sources do not agree on the exact magnitude.[3]

Context. Source [7] reports August 2024 closing at $2,513, up 3.6% for the month, which does not directly measure the three-month window.[4]

Context. The claim's extraction matches the passage, which states the same figure as a three-month rise before the election.

Sources

4 sources: 4 not rated

  1. 1Gold Price in 2024: High, Low and Close - XAUUSD Globalxauusdglobal.com · not rated · cited for: context
  2. 2Gold Price in 2024 — Monthly Average & Return | XAU Tickerxauticker.com · not rated · cited for: context
  3. 3Gold Price History 2024: Monthly Prices, High & Lowgoldoilprice.com · not rated · cited for: context
  4. 4Gold Market Commentary: It's always the quiet onesgold.org · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 2 published posts

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