Polygraph

Abdul El-Sayed won the Michigan Democratic primary with 48.48% of the vote compared to 47.51% for his opponent.

Posted by The Charlie Kirk Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
5 support1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
85%
The Charlie Kirk ShowAug 5, 2026
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56 claimsThe check →

El-Sayed won the Michigan Democratic Senate primary, and the claimed 48.48% to 47.51% split matches the AP near-complete count reported by Le Monde and Wake Up To Politics. The certified AP table (48.4% to 47.6%) and other outlets (48.5% to 47.5%, 48.45% to 47.55%) differ only by rounding, so no source contradicts the figures.

What was said

… Mike Rogers was uncontested on the Republican side, but it looks like it was a lot closer than we anticipated. But Abdul El-Sayed did, I believe, pull it off, barring any surprises, but that's the race has been called by The New York Times and others. He won 48.48% to 47.51%, a difference really of about, I mean, it's it's razor thin. I mean, it's what is that, 14,000, 15,000 votes separating them? The polling had this thing at maybe 10, right? It was going to be a 10-point, 15-point, maybe 15. …
The Charlie Kirk Show · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. The AP certified results list El-Sayed at 48.4% and Stevens at 47.6%, with El-Sayed declared the winner, which matches the claimed figures within rounding.[1]

Supports. The New York Times live results show El-Sayed at 48.45% and Stevens at 47.55%, and the race was called for El-Sayed.[2]

Supports. WSJ, citing the AP at 99% of the expected vote, reports El-Sayed at 48.5% to Stevens' 47.5%, and NPR reports that El-Sayed narrowly won the nomination after an AP race call.[3][4]

Supports. Le Monde reports the AP call at 48.48% to 47.51% on the near-complete total, matching the claim exactly, though it is a lower-credibility outlet.[5]

Context. The claim's wording matches the claimant's passage, and the figures are presented as near-complete counts, which the certified results later refined to 48.4% and 47.6%.[1][6]

Sources

6 sources: 1 fact-checker, 3 tier 2, 2 not rated

  1. 1Michigan U.S. Senate Primary Election Live Results 2026apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports, context
  2. 2Michigan Primary 2026: Live Election Results - The New York Timesnytimes.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  3. 3Michigan Election Results: Abdul El-Sayed Wins Democratic ...wsj.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  4. 4Progressive Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan's Democratic primary for ...npr.org · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  5. 5Progressive Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan primary ...lemonde.fr · not rated · cited for: supports
  6. 6The Two Democratic Partieswakeuptopolitics.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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