Social Security in the United States will run out in six years.
Posted by Real Time with Bill Maher, Checked
- Sources
- 4 support1 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 70%
Real Time with Bill MaherOct 24, 2026
As of 2026-10-24, the SSA's 2026 Trustees Report projected the OASI retirement trust fund to be depleted in Q4 2032, about six years after the post, which supports the 'six years' figure.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What was said
… citizen tells Michael that their childcare there is so generous that when you have a baby, someone from the government comes over to your house and does your laundry, and if she wears the French maid's outfit, that's extra. Now, it's a great movie, but if you think Social Security here isn't going to run out, it is in six years, or that there's a government anywhere in the world that can afford to give you a car for being sad or do your fucking laundry for you, then you'll do well to remember this about the French: they're famous for two things, welfare and oral sex, and in both …
Real Time with Bill Maher · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Supports. The SSA's 2026 Trustees Report summary says the OASI trust fund can pay 100% of scheduled benefits until Q4 2032, when reserves are depleted and income covers 78% of benefits.[3]
Supports. Reuters and AP report the 2026 trustees projection of retirement trust fund depletion in late 2032, a year-plus-a-quarter earlier than the prior report.[1][2]
Supports. CRFB's analysis states that Social Security is 'only six years from insolvency,' with OASI insolvency in 2032.[4]
Context. Under a combined OASI and DI measure, the funds are depleted in Q3 2034, and the 2032 date means partial rather than total benefit payments continue afterward, so 'run out' is a simplification.[2][3][5]
Context. The post's passage ('if you think Social Security here isn't going to run out, it is in six years') matches the claim's wording, so no extraction departure was found.
Sources
5 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 primary, 2 not rated
- 1Go-broke date for Social Security's retirement trust fund moves upapnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
- 2US Social Security trust fund set for 2032 insolvency, report findsreuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports, context
- 3Trustees Report Summary - Social Security Administrationssa.gov · primary source · cited for: supports, context
- 4Analysis of the 2026 Social Security Trustees' Reportcrfb.org · not rated · cited for: supports
- 5Social Security Trust Fund Depletion Date Moved Up to 2032finance.yahoo.com · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post