The Census Bureau report on noncitizen voting in 2020 alleged 1,100 fraudulent votes in Arizona.
Posted by Platypus Economics with Justin Wolfers, Checked
- Sources
- 3 support2 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 90%
Platypus Economics with Justin WolfersAug 28, 2026
The Census Bureau's 'Noncitizen Voting in the 2020 Election, A Beginning Analysis' table lists 1,100 initial noncitizen voters in Arizona, and CNN and other outlets report the same figure, so the claim's figure is supported. The report's figures are record matches that fact-checkers say are not proven fraud, so the word 'fraudulent' overstates them, but the central assertion holds.
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What was said
… The other way that people count by how much you won the election was they look at the specific swing states, and so the important swing states in 2020 were Arizona, where Biden won by 10,000 votes, and this report reckons that they found 1,100 fraudulent votes; Georgia, the Biden won by 12,000 votes, this report reckons 400 of them were fraudulent; and Wisconsin, the Biden won by 21,000 votes, this report reckons that 500 of them were fraudulent. …
Platypus Economics with Justin Wolfers · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Supports. The Census Bureau report's state table lists Arizona with 1,100 initial noncitizen voters.[3]
Supports. CNN and the Yahoo-syndicated coverage both report the report's alleged figure of 1,100 noncitizen votes in Arizona, against Biden's margin of about 10,457.[4][5]
Context. Leads Stories says the report only shows records 'matched' to records suggesting possible non-citizenship, and that 'matched' is not the same as 'proven.' The word 'fraudulent' therefore characterizes the figure more strongly than the report does.[1]
Context. Experts flagged likely false positives in the methodology, but none of the sources dispute that the report itself lists 1,100 for Arizona.[2][4]
Sources
5 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 primary, 2 not rated
- 1Fact Check: Census Bureau 'Beginning Analysis' Did NOT Find Over ...leadstories.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
- 2Noncitizen voting claims animate Trump's attacks on the ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
- 3Noncitizen Voting in the 2020 Election, A Beginning Analysiscensus.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
- 4Experts slam ‘flawed' Trump administration Census report on alleged noncitizen votingsg.news.yahoo.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 5Experts slam Trump's unusual new census report as a ' ...edition.cnn.com · not rated · cited for: supports
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
- The Census Bureau released a report claiming that 24,000 noncitizens voted in the 2020 election.True
- The U.S. Census Bureau released a paper this week claiming that at least 24,000 non-citizens voted in the 2020 election.True
- A report alleges 1,100 fraudulent votes in Arizona during the 2020 election.Can’t tell
- The Census Bureau report on noncitizen voting in the 2020 election lacked an author and a reviewer.True
- The Census Bureau paper regarding non-citizen voting in the 2020 election was produced by political operatives at an outside think tank.True