Polygraph

James Talarico is leading Kent Hance by three points in a recent poll.

Posted by Louder with Crowder, Checked

Polygraph verdictCan’t tell
Sources
4 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
30%
Louder with CrowderAug 19, 2026
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53 claimsThe check →

The claim departs from the passage: it names Kent Hance as Talarico's opponent, but the post says 'Kent Huckney' (apparently a garbled reference to Ken Paxton), and the sources identify Paxton as the Republican nominee.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… You're gonna have to go back probably the late eighties, the last time they won a Senate race out there, when it was Lloyd Benson winning in 1988. Because just take a look here: this polling looks so much different than it did eight years ago. You take a look here, James Salario, the latest poll against Kent Huckney, he's actually up by three points. Look at where the race was between Beto O'roourke and Ted Cruz at this point in the 2018 cycle. Ted Cruz was a hit by six. This is very different. The Democrat here is doing nine points better. And what is supercharging that? …
Louder with Crowder · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Context. The post names Ken Paxton's opponent only as 'Kent Huckney'; the extracted claim substitutes 'Kent Hance', a name that appears nowhere in the passage or the rest of the post.

Context. Recent polls of the Talarico–Paxton race vary: Texas Votes 2026 shows Talarico +2, Texas Public Opinion Research shows +4, Barbara Jordan Center/TSU shows +2, and Quantus shows Paxton +0.5, so a three-point lead appears in some polling averages but not as a specific single poll cited.[1][2][3][4]

Context. No source mentions Kent Hance in relation to the 2026 Texas Senate race, so the claim as extracted cannot be graded against the sources.

Sources

4 sources: 1 primary, 3 not rated

  1. 1Texas Votes 2026uh.edu · primary source · cited for: context
  2. 2October Poll: In Texas General Election, Talarico Leads ...texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com · not rated · cited for: context
  3. 3Talarico, Abbott lead in poll as Texans near Election Dayelpasotimes.com · not rated · cited for: context
  4. 4Texas U.S. Senate Survey, October 2026data.ddhq.io · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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