Polygraph

77% of independents are not confident that Donald Trump will accept his party's losses.

Posted by Deadline: White House, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
3 support7 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
93%
Deadline: White HouseOct 20, 2026
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43 claimsThe check →

The claim matches the Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll (conducted Oct. 9-13, 2026, reported Oct. 20), which found 77% of independents not confident Trump would accept Republican midterm losses. The claim faithfully reflects the passage, and the finding was accurate as of the 2026-10-20 posting date.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… There isn't a poll on the planet that predicts anything other than massive losses for the MAGA Republican Party. I mean, that 77% of independents are not confident Trump will accept his party's losses, 36% of all Republicans not confident Trump will accept his party's losses, 94% of Democrats. I mean, what do you need to defend and protect the voters and the results? …
Deadline: White House · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. The Hill, a tier1 outlet, reports the Post-ABC-Ipsos poll found 77 percent of independents not confident Trump will accept GOP midterm losses.[1]

Supports. The Washington Post's own write-up of the Post-ABC-Ipsos poll states that 77 percent of independents are not confident Trump would accept GOP losses.[2]

Supports. ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos coverage independently reports that 77% of independents are not confident Trump will accept the results if Republicans lose.[3]

Context. The poll's figures were widely repeated by later outlets, and the claimant's passage matches the poll's wording. Those repeats add no independent confirmation beyond the original poll.[4][5][6][7][8][9][10]

Sources

10 sources: 1 tier 1, 1 tier 2, 7 not rated, 1 tier 3

  1. 1Donald Trump's acceptance of midterm election results doubted ...thehill.com · tier 1 · cited for: supports
  2. 2Would Trump accept GOP midterm losses? 7 in 10 Americans doubt it.washingtonpost.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  3. 3About 6 in 10 Americans are confident the election will be ...goodmorningamerica.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  4. 4Even Republicans have no confidence Trump will accept lossesrawstory.com · tier 3 · cited for: context
  5. 5Poll shows many Americans doubt Trump will accept GOP midterm lossesrmb.reuters.com · not rated · cited for: context
  6. 6'Go Vote': Poll Shows 70% of US Voters Doubt Trump Will ...commondreams.org · not rated · cited for: context
  7. 7Republicans deliver scathing midterm judgment on Trump in new pollyahoo.com · not rated · cited for: context
  8. 87 in 10 Americans lack confidence Trump would accept ...tbsnews.net · not rated · cited for: context
  9. 9Poll: Many Americans doubt Trump will accept GOP midterm lossesusatoday.com · not rated · cited for: context
  10. 10What happens if Trump rejects the 2026 US midterm election results?firstpost.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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