Polling from September 30, 2026, showed Lula with 39.4% of the vote and Flavio Bolsonaro with 38.4% of the vote.
Posted by Behind the Bastards, Checked
- Sources
- 3 support1 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 85%
Behind the BastardsOct 3, 2026
The Meio/Ideia poll released September 30, 2026 showed Lula at 39.4% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 38.4% in the first round, matching the claim. The poll's fieldwork ran September 25–28, and later polls and the October 2026 result do not change what the September 30 poll showed.
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What was said
… Several years now after Jair Bolsonaro's ouster which he's in prison now for the coup that was launched after he lost his election in 2022 brazil is in the thick of another election that many fear might return the right and the Bolsonaros to power. The most recent polling from thirtieth of September by a MEO slash idea showed Lula, the current president, with 39.4% of the vote, and Flavio Bolsonaro with 38.4% of the vote. They go through, like, multiple this is the second round of voting, right? And that is still a statistical tie, although it had this does represent Lula has widened his first round lead against Bolsonaro, but it's still, like, statistically a tie, right? …
Behind the Bastards · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Supports. UOL's report on the Meio/Ideia poll, published September 30, 2026, lists Lula (PT) at 39.4% and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 38.4% in the stimulated first-round scenario.[1]
Supports. Folha's report on the same Meio/Ideia poll, published September 30, 2026, gives Lula 39.4% and Flávio 38.4% in the first round and describes the two as technically tied.[2]
Supports. The Rio Times reported the Meio/Ideia first-round figures of 39.4% for Lula and 38.4% for Flávio Bolsonaro, citing the same poll.[3]
Context. Valor's October 2 roundup cites the September 30 Meio/Ideia poll and describes Lula and Flávio as technically tied, consistent with the claimed figures.[4]
Context. The extraction's 'MEO slash idea' is the Meio/Ideia pollster, and the claim's 'September 30' is the release date; fieldwork ran September 25–28, a detail the claim does not contradict.[1][2]
Sources
4 sources: 4 not rated
- 1Meio/Ideia: Lula e Flávio aparecem empatados tecnicamente em ...noticias.uol.com.br · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 2Meio/Ideia: Lula e Flávio Bolsonaro seguem empatados - 30/09/2026www1.folha.uol.com.br · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 3Brazil Poll Lula Leads First Round, Runoff Tied AtlasIntelriotimesonline.com · not rated · cited for: supports
- 4Quem está na frente para presidente no segundo turno? Veja resultados das últimas pesquisasvalor.globo.com · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
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